Copa Uruguay · 2 September 2026AI PICK
Atenasvs
Penarol
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 48.5%
- Edge
- +12.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.06
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.06
The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Atenas
Penarol
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
Penarol (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.6
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.7
- Odds
- 2.06
Match Winner
Penarol Win
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.66
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.0
- Odds
- 2.12
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.41
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.