Atenasvs
Tacuarembo
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 41.3%
- Edge
- +16.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.42
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectAtenas Win
Match Winner · best price 2.42
The market underrated this by 16.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Atenas
Tacuarembo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 1.30
Match Winner
Atenas Win
- Edge
- +16.5
- Odds
- 2.42
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -8.3
- Odds
- 1.57
Draw No Bet
Atenas (DNB)
- Edge
- -8.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -7.0
- Odds
- 1.81
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.41
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-0
9.5% · actual
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.