Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Athletic Club II badgeAthletic Club IIvsOurense CF badgeOurense CF

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+6.7 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

High confidenceEdge +6.7%
Our model70.4%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 6.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Athletic Club II badge

Athletic Club II

Attack31
Defence60
Form31
Ourense CF badge

Ourense CF

Attack45
Defence60
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.7%Miss
Our model70.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Athletic Club II (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model43.9%
The market47.6%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Athletic Club II Win

Our model35.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.