Primera División RFEF - Group 1 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Athletic Club II badgeAthletic Club IIvsRacing Ferrol badgeRacing Ferrol

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.7%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+10.3 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +10.3%
Our model75.7%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Athletic Club II badge

Athletic Club II

Attack33
Defence69
Form42
Racing Ferrol badge

Racing Ferrol

Attack33
Defence39
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.3%Correct
Our model75.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.2%Correct
Our model62.9%
The market61.7%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Athletic Club II (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Athletic Club II Win

Miss
Our model47.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.