Serie B badgeSerie B · 28 June 2026AI PICK

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubvsAvai badgeAvai

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.4%
Market said
44.4%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +11.0%
Our model55.4%
The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Athletic Club badge

Athletic Club

Attack47
Defence45
Form36
Avai badge

Avai

Attack65
Defence42
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market73.5%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.0%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market44.4%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model51.6%
The market47.6%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Athletic Club Win

Correct
Our model48.7%
The market52.4%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Athletic Club (DNB)

Correct
Our model38.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
-18.4
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model11.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.9%

1-1

10.3%

1-0

9.9% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.