La Liga badgeLa Liga · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubvsCelta Vigo badgeCelta Vigo

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.8%
Our model59.4%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Athletic Club badge

Athletic Club

Attack47
Defence46
Form42
Celta Vigo badge

Celta Vigo

Attack52
Defence38
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.80

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Close
Our model52.9%
The market52.4%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Athletic Club (DNB)

Void
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Athletic Club Win

Miss
Our model44.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.3%
The market9.0%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-0

10.3%

1-1

10.1% · actual

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.