Serie B badgeSerie B · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubvsFortaleza EC badgeFortaleza EC

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.4%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+14.8 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +14.8%
Our model62.4%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 14.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Athletic Club badge

Athletic Club

Attack64
Defence46
Form48
Fortaleza EC badge

Fortaleza EC

Attack66
Defence64
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.8%Miss
Our model62.4%
The market47.6%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.2%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market38.5%
Edge
+21.2
Odds
2.60

Match Winner

Athletic Club Win

Edge +23.2%Correct
Our model56.5%
The market33.3%
Edge
+23.2
Odds
3.00

Draw No Bet

Athletic Club (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

9.2%

1-0

8.8% · actual

2-1

8.6%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.