Serie B badgeSerie B · 27 April 2026AI PICK

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubvsNautico Recife badgeNautico Recife

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.7%
Market said
41.7%
Edge
+24.0 pts
Best odds
2.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.40

MediumEdge +24.0%
Our model65.7%
The market41.7%

The market underrated this by 24.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Athletic Club badge

Athletic Club

Attack69
Defence40
Form50
Nautico Recife badge

Nautico Recife

Attack80
Defence51
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +24.0%Miss
Our model65.7%
The market41.7%
Edge
+24.0
Odds
2.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.0%Miss
Our model65.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Athletic Club (DNB)

Miss
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Athletic Club Win

Miss
Our model44.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.