Athletic Clubvs
Novorizontino
1 - 4Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 48.4%
- Edge
- +5.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Novorizontino (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.72
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.4
- Odds
- 2.10
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.8
- Odds
- 2.60
Match Winner
Novorizontino Win
- Edge
- +5.1
- Odds
- 2.70
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.18
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.5%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.2%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.