Serie B badgeSerie B · 24 August 2026AI PICK

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubvsNovorizontino badgeNovorizontino

1 - 4
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
48.4%
Edge
+5.4 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

LowEdge +5.4%
Our model53.8%
The market48.4%

The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Athletic Club badge

Athletic Club

Attack44
Defence71
Form53
Novorizontino badge

Novorizontino

Attack73
Defence61
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model73.3%
The market73.5%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Novorizontino (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market58.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market48.4%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.8%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market39.9%
Edge
+13.8
Odds
2.60

Match Winner

Novorizontino Win

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model42.1%
The market37.0%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

0-1

9.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.