La Liga badgeLa Liga · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubvsSevilla badgeSevilla

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
43.5%
Edge
+16.5 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +16.5%
Our model60.0%
The market43.5%

The market underrated this by 16.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Athletic Club badge

Athletic Club

Attack100
Defence100
Form67
Sevilla badge

Sevilla

Attack43
Defence87
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model81.5%
The market84.0%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.19

Draw No Bet

Athletic Club (DNB)

Miss
Our model75.2%
The market75.2%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.5%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market43.5%
Edge
+16.5
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Athletic Club Win

Miss
Our model55.7%
The market58.8%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market46.6%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 3-1

Miss
Our model8.2%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

3-1

8.2%

2-1

7.3%

4-1

7.0%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.