La Liga badgeLa Liga · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Athletic Club badgeAthletic ClubvsValencia badgeValencia

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.3%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+6.9 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +6.9%
Our model59.3%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Athletic Club badge

Athletic Club

Attack52
Defence46
Form49
Valencia badge

Valencia

Attack47
Defence48
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model59.3%
The market52.4%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Athletic Club (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market52.4%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Athletic Club Win

Miss
Our model46.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.9%
The market9.5%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.9%

1-1

10.1%

0-1

9.7% · actual

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.