Athletic Clubvs
Vila Nova
5 - 0Miss
Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 54.6%
- Markets called
- 3 of 4 right
- Final score
- 5 - 0
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.51
LowEdge -8.2%
Our model54.6%
The market62.8%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Athletic Club
Attack41
Defence53
Form44
Vila Nova
Attack61
Defence61
Form56
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +0.7%
Our model74.8%
The market74.1%
- Edge
- +0.7
- Odds
- 1.35
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Miss
Our model54.6%
The market62.8%
- Edge
- -8.2
- Odds
- 1.51
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
Correct
Our model54.6%
The market55.8%
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 1.71
Draw No Bet
Athletic Club (DNB)
Correct
Our model50.7%
The market53.5%
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
Athletic Club Win
Correct
Our model37.9%
The market39.8%
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 2.51
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.