First Division badgeFirst Division · 7 August 2026AI PICK

Athlone Town badgeAthlone TownvsLongford Town badgeLongford Town

2 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
34.0%
Edge
+23.4 pts
Best odds
2.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Longford Town Win

Match Winner · best price 2.94

MediumEdge +23.4%
Our model57.4%
The market34.0%

The market underrated this by 23.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Athlone Town badge

Athlone Town

Attack31
Defence61
Form27
Longford Town badge

Longford Town

Attack87
Defence43
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +6.8%Miss
Our model73.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

Longford Town (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Longford Town Win

Edge +23.4%Miss
Our model57.4%
The market34.0%
Edge
+23.4
Odds
2.94

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.4%Correct
Our model56.5%
The market50.1%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
1.88

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market55.9%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
1.69

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model10.9%
The market12.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.99

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

10.9%

1-2

9.8%

1-1

9.6%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.