Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Atlanta United FC badgeAtlanta United FCvsSporting Kansas City badgeSporting Kansas City

2 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
38.6%
Edge
+15.2 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.50

LowEdge +15.2%
Our model53.8%
The market38.6%

The market underrated this by 15.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atlanta United FC badge

Atlanta United FC

Attack40
Defence43
Form33
Sporting Kansas City badge

Sporting Kansas City

Attack27
Defence30
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model76.2%
The market84.7%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Atlanta United FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model63.8%
The market73.0%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
1.37

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +15.2%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market38.6%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
2.50

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.5%Close
Our model53.7%
The market37.2%
Edge
+16.5
Odds
2.60

Match Winner

Atlanta United FC Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market58.8%
Edge
-16.7
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model12.4%
The market14.3%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
7.01

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.4%

1-1

14.3%

0-0

11.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.