Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Atlas badgeAtlasvsMonterrey badgeMonterrey

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
52.7%
Edge
+1.1 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

LowEdge +1.1%
Our model53.8%
The market52.7%

The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atlas badge

Atlas

Attack36
Defence56
Form33
Monterrey badge

Monterrey

Attack72
Defence58
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +5.4%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market69.4%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.44

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Close
Our model53.8%
The market52.7%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Monterrey (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.1%
The market59.4%
Edge
-6.3
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Monterrey Win

Edge +9.5%Correct
Our model49.5%
The market40.0%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

0-2

9.1% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.