Liga MX badgeLiga MX · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Atlas badgeAtlasvsTigres UANL badgeTigres UANL

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
46.4%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

LowEdge +7.3%
Our model53.7%
The market46.4%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atlas badge

Atlas

Attack32
Defence48
Form31
Tigres UANL badge

Tigres UANL

Attack63
Defence47
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market73.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Tigres UANL (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Miss
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market46.4%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market53.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Tigres UANL Win

Edge +6.2%Miss
Our model51.7%
The market45.5%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

9.9%

1-1

12.4%

1-2

9.9%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.