Serie D · 14 June 2026AI PICK
Atlético Alagoinhasvs
CSA
1 - 7Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 56.5%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +11.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.0
- Odds
- 2.20
Draw No Bet
CSA (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
CSA Win
- Edge
- -52.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.02
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
14.3%
0-1
13.0%
0-3
11.5%
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.