Serie D badgeSerie D · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Atlético Alagoinhas badgeAtlético AlagoinhasvsJacuipense badgeJacuipense

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.5%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +9.9%
Our model65.5%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atlético Alagoinhas badge

Atlético Alagoinhas

Attack27
Defence30
Form11
Jacuipense badge

Jacuipense

Attack34
Defence35
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model65.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Atlético Alagoinhas Win

Edge +7.7%Miss
Our model52.1%
The market44.4%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Atlético Alagoinhas (DNB)

Miss
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model20.4%
The market17.8%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.63

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

20.4%

0-1

19.7% · actual

1-0

17.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.