Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 5 September 2026AI PICK
Atlético Astorgavs
Portugalete
0 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 53.5%
- Edge
- +1.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.87
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.87
The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -3.7
- Odds
- 1.37
Draw No Bet
Portugalete (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.8
- Odds
- 1.97
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 1.87
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -6.0
- Odds
- 1.65
Match Winner
Portugalete Win
- Edge
- -0.4
- Odds
- 2.57
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.43
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.3% · actual
1-1
15.0%
0-0
11.8%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.