Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 badgeSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Atlético Astorga badgeAtlético AstorgavsSarriana badgeSarriana

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.6%
Our model61.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atlético Astorga badge

Atlético Astorga

Attack65
Defence41
Form44
Sarriana badge

Sarriana

Attack51
Defence55
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.6%Miss
Our model59.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Atlético Astorga (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Atlético Astorga Win

Correct
Our model49.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.