Atletico Avila FCvs
Bolívar
0 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 71.0%
- Market said
- 65.4%
- Edge
- +5.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.53
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53
The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Atletico Avila FC
Bolívar
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.6
- Odds
- 1.53
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +11.0
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Bolívar Win
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 2.60
Draw No Bet
Bolívar (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 5.23
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
22.0%
0-0
18.4% · actual
1-0
13.9%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.