Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Atlético CP badgeAtlético CPvsMafra badgeMafra

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.8%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+20.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Mafra Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +20.8%
Our model70.8%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 20.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Atlético CP badge

Atlético CP

Attack17
Defence36
Form33
Mafra badge

Mafra

Attack100
Defence63
Form75

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +17.1%Correct
Our model88.5%
The market71.4%
Edge
+17.1
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Mafra Win

Edge +20.8%Miss
Our model70.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+20.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Mafra (DNB)

Edge +7.6%Void
Our model64.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Close
Our model53.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model17.4%
The market20.0%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
4.99

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

17.4%

0-3

14.5%

0-1

13.2%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.