Atletico el Vigia FCvs
Club Atletico Barinas
2 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.4%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +2.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 2.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Atletico el Vigia FC
Club Atletico Barinas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +14.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
Atletico el Vigia FC (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.5
- Odds
- 1.57
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.8
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Atletico el Vigia FC Win
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 1.98
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
13.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.