Liga Pro Serie B badgeLiga Pro Serie B · 2 July 2026AI PICK

Atletico FC badgeAtletico FCvsEl Nacional badgeEl Nacional

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.6%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+9.3 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +9.3%
Our model60.6%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 9.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico FC badge

Atletico FC

Attack50
Defence58
Form55
El Nacional badge

El Nacional

Attack32
Defence31
Form10

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model75.3%
The market84.7%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Close
Our model60.6%
The market51.3%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model51.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Atletico FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.7
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Atletico FC Win

Correct
Our model45.5%
The market69.0%
Edge
-23.5
Odds
1.45

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model21.9%
The market19.0%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
5.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

21.9%

0-0

16.5%

0-1

12.8%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.