Liga Pro Serie B badgeLiga Pro Serie B · 30 July 2026AI PICK

Atletico FC badgeAtletico FCvsLDU Portoviejo badgeLDU Portoviejo

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+4.8 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +4.8%
Our model57.4%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 4.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico FC badge

Atletico FC

Attack57
Defence70
Form53
LDU Portoviejo badge

LDU Portoviejo

Attack46
Defence42
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.4%Correct
Our model74.8%
The market71.4%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.8%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+4.8
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Atletico FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Atletico FC Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model13.0%
The market14.9%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0% · actual

1-1

14.9%

0-0

14.0%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.