Copa Do Brasil · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Atletico GoianiensevsAtletico Paranaense

0 - 0

Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 65.0%
Market said: 61.7%
Edge: +3.3 pts
Best odds: 1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge +3.3%

Our model65.0%

The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Goianiense

Attack31

Defence86

Form49

Atletico Paranaense

Attack42

Defence66

Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market73.5%

Edge: +11.5
Odds: 1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.3%Correct

Our model65.0%

The market61.7%

Edge: +3.3
Odds: 1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Miss

Our model53.4%

The market51.3%

Edge: +2.1
Odds: 1.95

Draw No Bet

Atletico Goianiense (DNB)

Void

Our model46.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -11.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Atletico Goianiense Win

Edge +13.4%Miss

Our model43.7%

The market30.3%

Edge: +13.4
Odds: 3.30

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss

Our model15.0%

The market13.0%

Edge: +2.0
Odds: 7.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.0%

1-0

12.0%

1-1

11.1%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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