Serie B · 27 July 2026AI PICK

Atletico GoianiensevsOperario-PR

3 - 1

Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 55.5%
Market said: 44.6%
Edge: +10.9 pts
Best odds: 2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +10.9%

Our model55.5%

The market44.6%

The market underrated this by 10.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Goianiense

Attack44

Defence57

Form46

Operario-PR

Attack73

Defence37

Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +9.3%Miss

Our model73.0%

The market63.7%

Edge: +9.3
Odds: 1.57

Draw No Bet

Operario-PR (DNB)

Miss

Our model56.1%

The market57.1%

Edge: -1.0
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.9%Correct

Our model55.5%

The market44.6%

Edge: +10.9
Odds: 2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.6%Correct

Our model54.2%

The market51.6%

Edge: +2.6
Odds: 1.83

Match Winner

Operario-PR Win

Edge +11.3%Miss

Our model43.6%

The market32.3%

Edge: +11.3
Odds: 3.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model9.7%

The market11.1%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 8.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.7%

1-1

12.9%

0-1

8.9%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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