Atletico Goianiensevs
Ponte Preta
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.6%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +3.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Atletico Goianiense Win
- Edge
- -9.8
- Odds
- 1.48
Draw No Bet
Atletico Goianiense (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.62
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 5.80
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
19.8%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
12.4%
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.