Primera División badgePrimera División · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Atletico Grau badgeAtletico GrauvsAlianza Lima badgeAlianza Lima

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
52.7%
Market said
40.0%
Edge
+12.7 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50

LowEdge +12.7%
Our model52.7%
The market40.0%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Grau badge

Atletico Grau

Attack30
Defence58
Form30
Alianza Lima badge

Alianza Lima

Attack69
Defence100
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market40.0%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
2.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model51.5%
The market45.5%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Alianza Lima (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Alianza Lima Win

Correct
Our model35.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.