Primera División badgePrimera División · 1 September 2026AI PICK

Atletico Grau badgeAtletico GrauvsFBC Melgar badgeFBC Melgar

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
51.4%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.89

LowEdge +2.6%
Our model54.0%
The market51.4%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Grau badge

Atletico Grau

Attack40
Defence73
Form51
FBC Melgar badge

FBC Melgar

Attack62
Defence67
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model72.1%
The market70.9%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.41

Draw No Bet

FBC Melgar (DNB)

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model60.8%
The market49.3%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
2.03

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market51.4%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.89

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.3%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market42.5%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
2.29

Match Winner

FBC Melgar Win

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model43.2%
The market35.6%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.81

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

1-1

12.7%

0-2

8.0%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.