Primera División badgePrimera División · 22 April 2026AI PICK

Atletico Grau badgeAtletico GrauvsSporting Cristal badgeSporting Cristal

4 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.4%
Market said
61.0%
Edge
+1.4 pts
Best odds
1.64

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.64

MediumEdge +1.4%
Our model62.4%
The market61.0%

The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Grau badge

Atletico Grau

Attack19
Defence55
Form23
Sporting Cristal badge

Sporting Cristal

Attack61
Defence51
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.4%
Our model85.0%
The market74.6%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.4%Miss
Our model62.4%
The market61.0%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.64

Draw No Bet

Sporting Cristal (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market54.6%
Edge
-11.0
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Sporting Cristal Win

Miss
Our model42.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.