Primera División badgePrimera División · 29 May 2026AI PICK

Atletico Grau badgeAtletico GrauvsUCV Moquegua badgeUCV Moquegua

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
59.5%
Edge
+2.8 pts
Best odds
1.68

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.68

MediumEdge +2.8%
Our model62.3%
The market59.5%

The market underrated this by 2.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Grau badge

Atletico Grau

Attack28
Defence61
Form29
UCV Moquegua badge

UCV Moquegua

Attack43
Defence45
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.8%Correct
Our model62.3%
The market59.5%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
1.68

Match Winner

Atletico Grau Win

Correct
Our model55.1%
The market61.3%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.63

Draw No Bet

Atletico Grau (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model43.9%
The market48.1%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
2.08

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.4%
The market16.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.24

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.4%

1-0

13.9% · actual

0-0

13.0%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.