Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 23 May 2026AI PICK
Atlético Madrid IIvs
Algeciras
3 - 1Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.1%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +12.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectAtlético Madrid II Win
Match Winner · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 12.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Atlético Madrid II
Algeciras
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Match Winner
Atlético Madrid II Win
- Edge
- +12.3
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Atlético Madrid II (DNB)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.8
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.2
- Odds
- 1.83
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.69
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.9%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.