La Liga badgeLa Liga · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Atletico Madrid badgeAtletico MadridvsAthletic Club badgeAthletic Club

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.5%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+16.1 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +16.1%
Our model68.5%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 16.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Madrid badge

Atletico Madrid

Attack79
Defence38
Form52
Athletic Club badge

Athletic Club

Attack44
Defence48
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.1%Correct
Our model68.5%
The market52.4%
Edge
+16.1
Odds
1.91

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model63.1%
The market58.8%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Atletico Madrid (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Atletico Madrid Win

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.