Taça de Portugal badgeTaça de Portugal · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Atlético Malveira badgeAtlético MalveiravsMafra badgeMafra

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+10.0 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +10.0%
Our model61.3%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atlético Malveira badge

Atlético Malveira

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Mafra badge

Mafra

Attack67
Defence75
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.3%
The market83.3%
Edge
-10.0
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.0%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Mafra (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.4%
The market75.8%
Edge
-18.4
Odds
1.32

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market54.3%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.84

Match Winner

Mafra Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market62.5%
Edge
-20.4
Odds
1.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.3%

2-1

6.8%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.