Atlético Malveiravs
Mafra
2 - 3Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +10.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Atlético Malveira
Mafra
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -10.0
- Odds
- 1.20
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.0
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Mafra (DNB)
- Edge
- -18.4
- Odds
- 1.32
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.8
- Odds
- 1.84
Match Winner
Mafra Win
- Edge
- -20.4
- Odds
- 1.60
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.55
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.