Serie A · 21 July 2026AI PICK
Atletico-MGvs
Bahia
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 50.5%
- Edge
- +5.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Atletico-MG
Bahia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Bahia (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Bahia Win
- Edge
- +11.4
- Odds
- 3.60
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.48
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.2%
1-1
13.0% · actual
2-1
7.5%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.