Copa Do Brasil badgeCopa Do Brasil · 23 April 2026AI PICK

Atletico-MG badgeAtletico-MGvsCeara badgeCeara

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.3%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+12.0 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +12.0%
Our model63.3%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 12.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico-MG badge

Atletico-MG

Attack48
Defence66
Form45
Ceara badge

Ceara

Attack54
Defence100
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.6%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Atletico-MG (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Atletico-MG Win

Correct
Our model46.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.