Serie A · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Atletico-MGvs
Gremio
3 - 0Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 49.0%
- Edge
- +4.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Atletico-MG
Gremio
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +13.1
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Gremio (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Gremio Win
- Edge
- +12.7
- Odds
- 4.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.73
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.