Primera A badgePrimera A · 21 April 2026AI PICK

Atletico Nacional badgeAtletico NacionalvsBucaramanga badgeBucaramanga

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.3%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+16.0 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +16.0%
Our model67.3%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 16.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Nacional badge

Atletico Nacional

Attack74
Defence63
Form69
Bucaramanga badge

Bucaramanga

Attack56
Defence68
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.0%Close
Our model67.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
+16.0
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Atletico Nacional Win

Edge +14.8%Correct
Our model64.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.2%Miss
Our model64.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Atletico Nacional (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.