Serie A · 17 May 2026AI PICK
Atletico Paranaensevs
Flamengo
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.4%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +15.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 15.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.8
- Odds
- 2.10
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.6
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Flamengo Win
- Edge
- +3.5
- Odds
- 2.15
Draw No Bet
Flamengo (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.78
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
0-2
8.1%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.