Atletico Paranaensevs
Internacional
2 - 0Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.5%
- Market said
- 41.0%
- Edge
- +14.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.35
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35
The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +17.4
- Odds
- 1.80
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.5
- Odds
- 2.35
Draw No Bet
Internacional (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 2.05
Match Winner
Internacional Win
- Edge
- +17.8
- Odds
- 4.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.1%
1-1
13.7%
0-1
8.5%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.