Atletico Paranaensevs
Mirassol
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.2%
- Market said
- 52.4%
- Edge
- +7.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.91
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectAtletico Paranaense Win
Match Winner · best price 1.91
The market underrated this by 7.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Match Winner
Atletico Paranaense Win
- Edge
- +7.8
- Odds
- 1.91
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Atletico Paranaense (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.0
- Odds
- 2.15
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.67
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.9% · actual
1-1
10.3%
0-1
9.9%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.