Serie A badgeSerie A · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Atletico Paranaense badgeAtletico ParanaensevsRB Bragantino badgeRB Bragantino

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
45.4%
Edge
+8.3 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

LowEdge +8.3%
Our model53.7%
The market45.4%

The market underrated this by 8.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Paranaense badge

Atletico Paranaense

Attack44
Defence75
Form57
RB Bragantino badge

RB Bragantino

Attack61
Defence91
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +7.5%
Our model63.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

RB Bragantino (DNB)

Void
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.3%Close
Our model53.7%
The market45.4%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model52.8%
The market51.8%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

RB Bragantino Win

Edge +4.6%Miss
Our model31.6%
The market27.0%
Edge
+4.6
Odds
3.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.2%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.2%

1-1

13.0% · actual

2-1

7.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.