Serie A badgeSerie A · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Atletico Paranaense badgeAtletico ParanaensevsVitoria badgeVitoria

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+20.1 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +20.1%
Our model65.6%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 20.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Paranaense badge

Atletico Paranaense

Attack66
Defence55
Form51
Vitoria badge

Vitoria

Attack57
Defence54
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.1%Correct
Our model65.6%
The market45.5%
Edge
+20.1
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.0%Correct
Our model64.6%
The market47.6%
Edge
+17.0
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Atletico Paranaense Win

Edge +13.3%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.3
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Atletico Paranaense (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.