Primera División badgePrimera División · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Atletico Torque badgeAtletico TorquevsCerro Largo badgeCerro Largo

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
51.7%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.89

LowEdge +2.9%
Our model54.6%
The market51.7%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Torque badge

Atletico Torque

Attack75
Defence42
Form67
Cerro Largo badge

Cerro Largo

Attack42
Defence58
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model79.9%
The market87.7%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Atletico Torque (DNB)

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model72.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market51.7%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.89

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.6%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market47.0%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
2.04

Match Winner

Atletico Torque Win

Correct
Our model51.6%
The market56.8%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.76

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-1

10.0% · actual

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.