Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 24 July 2026AI PICK

Atletico Torque badgeAtletico TorquevsDanubio badgeDanubio

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.0%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+4.2 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Atletico Torque Win

Match Winner · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +4.2%
Our model63.0%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 4.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Torque badge

Atletico Torque

Attack79
Defence40
Form60
Danubio badge

Danubio

Attack38
Defence44
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.9%
The market83.3%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Atletico Torque (DNB)

Edge +16.0%Correct
Our model73.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+16.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Atletico Torque Win

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model63.0%
The market58.8%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Miss
Our model55.8%
The market46.1%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model55.3%
The market49.7%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model11.0%
The market12.7%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

11.0%

1-1

10.7%

2-1

9.9%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.