Primera División - Apertura badgePrimera División - Apertura · 6 June 2026AI PICK

Atletico Torque badgeAtletico TorquevsDeportivo Maldonado badgeDeportivo Maldonado

2 - 4
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+15.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +15.6%
Our model65.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 15.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Torque badge

Atletico Torque

Attack67
Defence60
Form62
Deportivo Maldonado badge

Deportivo Maldonado

Attack65
Defence64
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.6%Correct
Our model65.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.6
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model64.9%
The market55.6%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Atletico Torque (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Atletico Torque Win

Miss
Our model41.9%
The market42.0%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model8.7%
The market7.5%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
13.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

8.2%

1-2

7.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.