CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 19 May 2026AI PICK

Atletico TorquevsDeportivo Riestra

4 - 1

Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 77.4%
Market said: 63.7%
Edge: +13.7 pts
Best odds: 1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

High confidenceEdge +13.7%

Our model77.4%

The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 13.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Torque

Attack59

Defence62

Form56

Deportivo Riestra

Attack15

Defence68

Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +7.0%Correct

Our model87.0%

The market80.0%

Edge: +7.0
Odds: 1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.7%Miss

Our model77.4%

The market63.7%

Edge: +13.7
Odds: 1.57

Match Winner

Atletico Torque Win

Edge +29.4%Correct

Our model74.9%

The market45.5%

Edge: +29.4
Odds: 2.20

Draw No Bet

Atletico Torque (DNB)

Edge +14.9%Correct

Our model72.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +14.9
Odds: 1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.4%Correct

Our model50.0%

The market47.6%

Edge: +2.4
Odds: 2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +3.4%Miss

Our model26.7%

The market23.3%

Edge: +3.4
Odds: 4.30

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

26.7%

2-0

17.9%

0-0

17.1%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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