Primera División - Apertura · 10 May 2026AI PICK
Atletico Torquevs
Progreso
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.1%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +14.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 14.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.3
- Odds
- 2.05
Match Winner
Atletico Torque Win
- Edge
- +11.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Atletico Torque (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -8.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.1
- Odds
- 7.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
16.3%
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.0%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.