CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 20 August 2026AI PICK

Atletico Torque badgeAtletico TorquevsTigre badgeTigre

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

LowEdge +5.0%
Our model53.8%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Atletico Torque badge

Atletico Torque

Attack71
Defence42
Form67
Tigre badge

Tigre

Attack47
Defence79
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.6%
Our model81.5%
The market69.9%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
1.43

Draw No Bet

Tigre (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.9%
The market64.9%
Edge
-11.0
Odds
1.54

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market48.8%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.3%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market41.4%
Edge
+12.3
Odds
2.35

Match Winner

Tigre Win

Miss
Our model43.9%
The market45.0%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
2.22

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.84

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8% · actual

1-1

12.3%

2-0

8.9%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.